Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.507905 9.511842 10.646854 12.038005 13.715218 15.696008 18.249146
2025-01-19 6.815233 8.064375 9.606374 11.696850 14.535728 18.385257 24.252432
2025-01-26 5.972513 7.328531 9.101898 11.679794 15.501053 21.282255 31.479364
2025-02-02 5.704028 7.237893 9.356011 12.653826 18.006746 27.150544 46.427650
2025-02-09 5.392139 7.022416 9.372459 13.243130 20.036590 33.014065 65.856349
2025-02-16 5.012028 6.651891 9.091748 13.285681 21.115478 37.542885 86.807276
2025-02-23 4.789348 6.479873 9.078529 13.751990 23.089697 44.940584 126.705844
2025-03-02 4.399371 6.012974 8.536863 13.188819 22.843926 46.938077 151.171912
2025-03-09 4.099788 5.658803 8.138922 12.822574 22.924135 49.890412 187.672741
2025-03-16 3.873148 5.399765 7.870891 12.657106 23.411102 54.348542 248.495780
2025-03-23 3.777808 5.340977 7.933894 13.141448 25.570491 65.745644 433.854791
2025-03-30 3.581997 5.102797 7.659465 12.899042 25.844530 70.740113 612.899780
2025-04-06 3.336566 4.784300 7.246445 12.382090 25.466965 73.895157 863.765076
2025-04-13 3.129407 4.519681 6.914602 12.009718 25.455067 79.217280 1440.013629
2025-04-20 2.990379 4.359170 6.756601 11.991275 26.472998 91.094449 4089.898649
2025-04-27 2.986616 4.428374 7.032465 13.004643 31.136042 133.815378 NaN
2025-05-04 2.933456 4.405885 7.128671 13.618499 34.889226 185.584953 NaN
2025-05-11 2.826920 4.279643 7.005485 13.662843 36.605229 228.102360 NaN
2025-05-18 2.769666 4.238123 7.048804 14.148997 40.442794 326.653198 NaN
2025-05-25 2.623012 4.022932 6.713918 13.561902 39.332559 338.745250 NaN
2025-06-01 2.504754 3.854403 6.464990 13.180364 39.061421 371.817570 NaN
2025-06-08 2.412526 3.729532 6.298963 13.008056 39.748808 440.606393 NaN
2025-06-15 2.380084 3.714742 6.365993 13.512541 44.176445 724.197040 NaN